# China → United States economic convergence

Indicator: GDP per capita (PPP) (constant 2021 international $)
Latest shared data: 2025
China: $25,067
United States: $76,931
China is at 33% of United States.

## Scenario

China annual growth: 5.4% (trailing 10-year average)
United States annual growth: 1.8% (trailing 10-year average)

## Result

If China grew 5.4% a year and United States 1.8% a year, China would catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 31 years, around 2057. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

| Year | China | United States |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| 2026 | $26,420 | $78,316 |
| 2031 | $34,367 | $85,623 |
| 2036 | $44,703 | $93,611 |
| 2041 | $58,149 | $102,345 |
| 2046 | $75,639 | $111,894 |
| 2051 | $98,390 | $122,333 |
| 2056 | $127,983 | $133,747 |
| 2057 | $134,894 | $136,155 |
| 2061 | $166,478 | $146,226 |
| 2063 | $184,943 | $151,537 |

## Links

- Explore this scenario: https://mountaintoclimb.com/?chaser=CHN&target=USA&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&cg=0.054&tmode=growing&tg=0.018&baseYear=2023&adjC=0&adjT=0
- Chart (SVG): https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/chart.svg?chaser=CHN&target=USA&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.054&target_growth_rate=0.018&base_year=2023
- JSON: https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/convergence?chaser=CHN&target=USA&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.054&target_growth_rate=0.018&base_year=2023
- Methodology: https://mountaintoclimb.com/methodology
- Canonical: https://mountaintoclimb.com/compare/china/united-states

Source: World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD. A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.