# Ethiopia → Kenya economic convergence

Indicator: GDP per capita (PPP) (constant 2021 international $)
Latest shared data: 2025
Ethiopia: $3,095
Kenya: $5,995
Ethiopia is at 52% of Kenya.

## Scenario

Ethiopia annual growth: 4.7% (trailing 10-year average)
Kenya annual growth: 2.5% (trailing 10-year average)

## Result

If Ethiopia grew 4.7% a year and Kenya 2.5% a year, Ethiopia would catch up with Kenya on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 30 years, around 2056. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

| Year | Ethiopia | Kenya |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| 2026 | $3,240 | $6,145 |
| 2031 | $4,077 | $6,953 |
| 2036 | $5,129 | $7,866 |
| 2041 | $6,453 | $8,900 |
| 2046 | $8,119 | $10,070 |
| 2051 | $10,215 | $11,393 |
| 2056 | $12,853 | $12,890 |
| 2061 | $16,170 | $14,584 |
| 2062 | $16,930 | $14,949 |

## Links

- Explore this scenario: https://mountaintoclimb.com/?chaser=ETH&target=KEN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&cg=0.047&tmode=growing&tg=0.025&baseYear=2023&adjC=0&adjT=0
- Chart (SVG): https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/chart.svg?chaser=ETH&target=KEN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.047&target_growth_rate=0.025&base_year=2023
- JSON: https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/convergence?chaser=ETH&target=KEN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.047&target_growth_rate=0.025&base_year=2023
- Methodology: https://mountaintoclimb.com/methodology
- Canonical: https://mountaintoclimb.com/compare/ethiopia/kenya

Source: World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD. A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.