# India → China economic convergence

Indicator: GDP per capita (PPP) (constant 2021 international $)
Latest shared data: 2025
India: $10,039
China: $25,067
India is at 40% of China.

## Scenario

India annual growth: 4.8% (trailing 10-year average)
China annual growth: 5.4% (trailing 10-year average)

## Result

If India grew 4.8% a year and China 5.4% a year, India would never catch up with China on GDP per capita (PPP).

| Year | India | China |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| 2026 | $10,521 | $26,420 |
| 2031 | $13,300 | $34,367 |
| 2036 | $16,814 | $44,703 |
| 2041 | $21,256 | $58,149 |
| 2046 | $26,871 | $75,639 |
| 2051 | $33,969 | $98,390 |
| 2056 | $42,943 | $127,983 |
| 2061 | $54,287 | $166,478 |
| 2066 | $68,629 | $216,550 |
| 2071 | $86,759 | $281,684 |
| 2076 | $109,678 | $366,408 |

## Links

- Explore this scenario: https://mountaintoclimb.com/?chaser=IND&target=CHN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&cg=0.048&tmode=growing&tg=0.054&baseYear=2023&adjC=0&adjT=0
- Chart (SVG): https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/chart.svg?chaser=IND&target=CHN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.048&target_growth_rate=0.054&base_year=2023
- JSON: https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/convergence?chaser=IND&target=CHN&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.048&target_growth_rate=0.054&base_year=2023
- Methodology: https://mountaintoclimb.com/methodology
- Canonical: https://mountaintoclimb.com/compare/india/china

Source: World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD. A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.