# Kenya → South Africa economic convergence

Indicator: GDP per capita (PPP) (constant 2021 international $)
Latest shared data: 2025
Kenya: $5,995
South Africa: $13,592
Kenya is at 44% of South Africa.

## Scenario

Kenya annual growth: 2.5% (trailing 10-year average)
South Africa annual growth: -0.7% (trailing 10-year average)

## Result

If Kenya grew 2.5% a year and South Africa -0.7% a year, Kenya would catch up with South Africa on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 25 years, around 2051. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

| Year | Kenya | South Africa |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| 2026 | $6,145 | $13,497 |
| 2031 | $6,953 | $13,031 |
| 2036 | $7,866 | $12,581 |
| 2041 | $8,900 | $12,147 |
| 2046 | $10,070 | $11,728 |
| 2051 | $11,393 | $11,323 |
| 2056 | $12,890 | $10,932 |

## Links

- Explore this scenario: https://mountaintoclimb.com/?chaser=KEN&target=ZAF&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&cg=0.025&tmode=growing&tg=-0.007&baseYear=2023&adjC=0&adjT=0
- Chart (SVG): https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/chart.svg?chaser=KEN&target=ZAF&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.025&target_growth_rate=-0.007&base_year=2023
- JSON: https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/convergence?chaser=KEN&target=ZAF&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.025&target_growth_rate=-0.007&base_year=2023
- Methodology: https://mountaintoclimb.com/methodology
- Canonical: https://mountaintoclimb.com/compare/kenya/south-africa

Source: World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD. A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.