Nigeria vs Ireland: economic convergence
If Nigeria grew -0.9% a year and Ireland 5.0% a year, Nigeria would never catch up with Ireland on GDP per capita (PPP).
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Nigeria | $8,145 |
| Ireland | $131,338 |
Nigeria is at 6% of Ireland's level.
Scenario
Nigeria grows -0.9% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Ireland grows 5.0% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Nigeria | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8,072 | $137,905 |
| 2031 | $7,715 | $176,006 |
| 2036 | $7,374 | $224,633 |
| 2041 | $7,048 | $286,695 |
| 2046 | $6,737 | $365,904 |
| 2051 | $6,439 | $466,997 |
| 2056 | $6,154 | $596,019 |
| 2061 | $5,882 | $760,688 |
| 2066 | $5,622 | $970,852 |
| 2071 | $5,374 | $1,239,081 |
| 2076 | $5,136 | $1,581,416 |
Data caveats
- Ireland's GDP is inflated. Multinational corporations booking intellectual property and profits through Ireland inflate GDP by ~40%. GNI* (Modified Gross National Income) better reflects Irish residents' living standards.
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Nigeria -0.9%, Ireland 5.0%