# Ukraine → Poland economic convergence

Indicator: GDP per capita (PPP) (constant 2021 international $)
Latest shared data: 2025
Ukraine: $16,155
Poland: $46,925
Ukraine is at 34% of Poland.

## Scenario

Ukraine annual growth: 0.5% (trailing 10-year average)
Poland annual growth: 4.0% (trailing 10-year average)

## Result

If Ukraine grew 0.5% a year and Poland 4.0% a year, Ukraine would never catch up with Poland on GDP per capita (PPP).

| Year | Ukraine | Poland |
| --- | ---: | ---: |
| 2026 | $16,236 | $48,802 |
| 2031 | $16,646 | $59,375 |
| 2036 | $17,066 | $72,238 |
| 2041 | $17,497 | $87,889 |
| 2046 | $17,939 | $106,930 |
| 2051 | $18,392 | $130,097 |
| 2056 | $18,856 | $158,283 |
| 2061 | $19,332 | $192,575 |
| 2066 | $19,821 | $234,297 |
| 2071 | $20,321 | $285,059 |
| 2076 | $20,834 | $346,817 |

## Links

- Explore this scenario: https://mountaintoclimb.com/?chaser=UKR&target=POL&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&cg=0.005&tmode=growing&tg=0.040&baseYear=2023&adjC=0&adjT=0
- Chart (SVG): https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/chart.svg?chaser=UKR&target=POL&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.005&target_growth_rate=0.04&base_year=2023
- JSON: https://mountaintoclimb.com/api/convergence?chaser=UKR&target=POL&indicator=GDP_PCAP_PPP&growth_rate=0.005&target_growth_rate=0.04&base_year=2023
- Methodology: https://mountaintoclimb.com/methodology
- Canonical: https://mountaintoclimb.com/compare/ukraine/poland

Source: World Bank NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD. A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
