Mountain to Climb

Bulgaria vs Germany: economic convergence

If Bulgaria grew 3.7% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Bulgaria would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 17 years, around 2043. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

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If Bulgaria grew 3.7% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Bulgaria would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 17 years, around 2043. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

Latest data (2025)

CountryGDP per capita (PPP)
Bulgaria$35,326
Germany$62,824

Bulgaria is at 56% of Germany's level.

Scenario

Bulgaria grows 3.7% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Germany grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.

YearBulgariaGermany
2026$36,633$63,138
2031$43,930$64,732
2036$52,681$66,367
2041$63,176$68,043
2043$67,937$68,725
2046$75,760$69,761
2049$84,485$70,812

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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Bulgaria 3.7%, Germany 0.5%