Poland vs Germany: economic convergence
If Poland grew 4.0% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Poland would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 8 years, around 2034. This is a scenario, not a forecast.
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Poland | $46,925 |
| Germany | $62,824 |
Poland is at 75% of Germany's level.
Scenario
Poland grows 4.0% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Germany grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Poland | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $48,802 | $63,138 |
| 2031 | $59,375 | $64,732 |
| 2034 | $66,788 | $65,708 |
| 2036 | $72,238 | $66,367 |
| 2039 | $81,258 | $67,367 |
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Poland 4.0%, Germany 0.5%