Mountain to Climb

Japan vs United States: economic convergence

If Japan grew 0.8% a year and United States 1.8% a year, Japan would never catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP).

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If Japan grew 0.8% a year and United States 1.8% a year, Japan would never catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP).

Latest data (2025)

CountryGDP per capita (PPP)
Japan$48,283
United States$76,931

Japan is at 63% of United States's level.

Scenario

Japan grows 0.8% a year (trailing 10-year average) and United States grows 1.8% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.

YearJapanUnited States
2026$48,670$78,316
2031$50,648$85,623
2036$52,706$93,611
2041$54,849$102,345
2046$57,078$111,894
2051$59,398$122,333
2056$61,812$133,747
2061$64,325$146,226
2066$66,939$159,868
2071$69,660$174,784
2076$72,491$191,091

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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Japan 0.8%, United States 1.8%