Pakistan vs India: economic convergence
If Pakistan grew 1.9% a year and India 4.8% a year, Pakistan would never catch up with India on GDP per capita (PPP).
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Pakistan | $5,617 |
| India | $10,039 |
Pakistan is at 56% of India's level.
Scenario
Pakistan grows 1.9% a year (trailing 10-year average) and India grows 4.8% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Pakistan | India |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $5,724 | $10,521 |
| 2031 | $6,289 | $13,300 |
| 2036 | $6,909 | $16,814 |
| 2041 | $7,591 | $21,256 |
| 2046 | $8,340 | $26,871 |
| 2051 | $9,163 | $33,969 |
| 2056 | $10,068 | $42,943 |
| 2061 | $11,061 | $54,287 |
| 2066 | $12,152 | $68,629 |
| 2071 | $13,352 | $86,759 |
| 2076 | $14,669 | $109,678 |
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Pakistan 1.9%, India 4.8%