Estonia vs Germany: economic convergence
If Estonia grew 1.4% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Estonia would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 45 years, around 2071. This is a scenario, not a forecast.
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Estonia | $41,604 |
| Germany | $62,824 |
Estonia is at 66% of Germany's level.
Scenario
Estonia grows 1.4% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Germany grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Estonia | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $42,187 | $63,138 |
| 2031 | $45,224 | $64,732 |
| 2036 | $48,479 | $66,367 |
| 2041 | $51,969 | $68,043 |
| 2046 | $55,710 | $69,761 |
| 2051 | $59,721 | $71,522 |
| 2056 | $64,020 | $73,328 |
| 2061 | $68,629 | $75,180 |
| 2066 | $73,569 | $77,078 |
| 2071 | $78,865 | $79,025 |
| 2076 | $84,542 | $81,020 |
| 2077 | $85,726 | $81,425 |
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Estonia 1.4%, Germany 0.5%