Mountain to Climb

Italy vs Germany: economic convergence

If Italy grew 1.3% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Italy would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 19 years, around 2045. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

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If Italy grew 1.3% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Italy would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 19 years, around 2045. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

Latest data (2025)

CountryGDP per capita (PPP)
Italy$53,606
Germany$62,824

Italy is at 85% of Germany's level.

Scenario

Italy grows 1.3% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Germany grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.

YearItalyGermany
2026$54,303$63,138
2031$57,926$64,732
2036$61,790$66,367
2041$65,912$68,043
2045$69,407$69,414
2046$70,309$69,761
2051$75,000$71,522

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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Italy 1.3%, Germany 0.5%