Mexico vs United States: economic convergence
If Mexico grew 0.2% a year and United States 1.8% a year, Mexico would never catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP).
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Mexico | $21,912 |
| United States | $76,931 |
Mexico is at 28% of United States's level.
Scenario
Mexico grows 0.2% a year (trailing 10-year average) and United States grows 1.8% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Mexico | United States |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $21,956 | $78,316 |
| 2031 | $22,176 | $85,623 |
| 2036 | $22,399 | $93,611 |
| 2041 | $22,624 | $102,345 |
| 2046 | $22,851 | $111,894 |
| 2051 | $23,080 | $122,333 |
| 2056 | $23,312 | $133,747 |
| 2061 | $23,546 | $146,226 |
| 2066 | $23,782 | $159,868 |
| 2071 | $24,021 | $174,784 |
| 2076 | $24,262 | $191,091 |
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Mexico 0.2%, United States 1.8%