Ukraine vs Poland: economic convergence
If Ukraine grew 0.5% a year and Poland 4.0% a year, Ukraine would never catch up with Poland on GDP per capita (PPP).
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Latest data (2025)
| Country | GDP per capita (PPP) |
|---|---|
| Ukraine | $16,155 |
| Poland | $46,925 |
Ukraine is at 34% of Poland's level.
Scenario
Ukraine grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Poland grows 4.0% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.
| Year | Ukraine | Poland |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $16,236 | $48,802 |
| 2031 | $16,646 | $59,375 |
| 2036 | $17,066 | $72,238 |
| 2041 | $17,497 | $87,889 |
| 2046 | $17,939 | $106,930 |
| 2051 | $18,392 | $130,097 |
| 2056 | $18,856 | $158,283 |
| 2061 | $19,332 | $192,575 |
| 2066 | $19,821 | $234,297 |
| 2071 | $20,321 | $285,059 |
| 2076 | $20,834 | $346,817 |
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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Ukraine 0.5%, Poland 4.0%