Mountain to Climb

Portugal vs Germany: economic convergence

If Portugal grew 1.7% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Portugal would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 32 years, around 2058. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

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If Portugal grew 1.7% a year and Germany 0.5% a year, Portugal would catch up with Germany on GDP per capita (PPP) in about 32 years, around 2058. This is a scenario, not a forecast.

Latest data (2025)

CountryGDP per capita (PPP)
Portugal$42,577
Germany$62,824

Portugal is at 68% of Germany's level.

Scenario

Portugal grows 1.7% a year (trailing 10-year average) and Germany grows 0.5% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.

YearPortugalGermany
2026$43,301$63,138
2031$47,108$64,732
2036$51,251$66,367
2041$55,758$68,043
2046$60,662$69,761
2051$65,996$71,522
2056$71,800$73,328
2058$74,262$74,063
2061$78,114$75,180
2063$80,792$75,934

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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: Portugal 1.7%, Germany 0.5%