Mountain to Climb

South Africa vs United States: economic convergence

If South Africa grew -0.7% a year and United States 1.8% a year, South Africa would never catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP).

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If South Africa grew -0.7% a year and United States 1.8% a year, South Africa would never catch up with United States on GDP per capita (PPP).

Latest data (2025)

CountryGDP per capita (PPP)
South Africa$13,592
United States$76,931

South Africa is at 18% of United States's level.

Scenario

South Africa grows -0.7% a year (trailing 10-year average) and United States grows 1.8% a year (trailing 10-year average). A scenario, not a forecast: the result follows only from the stated growth rates.

YearSouth AfricaUnited States
2026$13,497$78,316
2031$13,031$85,623
2036$12,581$93,611
2041$12,147$102,345
2046$11,728$111,894
2051$11,323$122,333
2056$10,932$133,747
2061$10,555$146,226
2066$10,191$159,868
2071$9,839$174,784
2076$9,499$191,091

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Source: World Bank (NY.GDP.PCAP.PP.KD). Mountain to Climb · World Bank data · Scenario: South Africa -0.7%, United States 1.8%